سیاست گذاری پیشرفت شهری

سیاست گذاری پیشرفت شهری

رفتارشناسی موتورسیکلت‌سواران با استفاده از شبیه‌سازی و توسعۀ مدل‌های رفتاری

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 دانشیار، گروه مهندسی عمران ـ حمل‌ونقل، دانشکدۀ فنی‌ و مهندسی، دانشگاه بین‌المللی امام خمینی(ره)، قزوین، ایران
2 دانشجوی دکتری تخصصی، گروه مهندسی عمران ـ حمل‌ونقل، دانشکدۀ فنی‌ و مهندسی، دانشگاه بین‌المللی امام خمینی(ره)، قزوین، ایران
چکیده
رفتار موتورسیکلت‌سواران یکی از عوامل کلیدی تعیین‌کننده در ایمنی ترافیکی و کاهش تصادفات جاده‌ای به شمار می‌آید. موتورسیکلت‌ها به دلیل ویژگی‌های خاص خود، از جمله نبود محافظ فیزیکی مناسب و تحرک بالای رانندگان، بیشتر در معرض خطر حوادث قرار دارند. تحلیل دقیق رفتار این گروه از کاربران راه، به‌ویژه با استفاده از مدل‌های رفتاری شناخته‌شده مانند نظریۀ رفتار برنامه‌ریزی‌شده (TPB) و پرسشنامۀ رفتار رانندۀ موتورسیکلت (MRBQ)، می‌تواند به پیش‌بینی رفتارهای پرخطر و بهبود سیاست‌های ایمنی کمک کند. علاوه بر این، استفاده از شبیه‌سازی‌های کامپیوتری در تحلیل رفتار موتورسیکلت‌سواران، امکان بررسی واکنش‌های آنان در محیط‌های کنترل‌شده و متنوع را فراهم می‌کند که در دنیای واقعی ممکن است به دلایل هزینه و ایمنی قابل انجام نباشد. هدف اصلی مطالعه، ارائۀ چارچوبی جامع برای تحلیل رفتار رانندگان موتورسیکلت بر اساس نظریۀ رفتار برنامه‌ریزی‌شده (TPB) و پرسشنامۀ رفتار رانندۀ موتورسیکلت (MRBQ) و اعمال آن در شبیه‌سازی‌های ترافیکی است. روش پژوهش مبتنی بر مرور ادبیات سیستماتیک است و مطالعات منتخب از پایگاه‌های معتبر بین‌المللی جمع‌آوری شده‌اند. مرور مطالعات پیشین نشان می‌دهد داده‌های کیفی حاصل از TPB و MRBQ می‌توانند با استفاده از روش‌هایی مانند نمره‌دهی عددی (Likert scale) و وزن‌دهی مؤلفه‌ها به پارامترهای کمی تبدیل شوند. وقتی این پارامترها در مدل‌های شبیه‌سازی ترافیک ادغام شوند، امکان تحلیل سناریوهای مختلف و پیش‌بینی ریسک رفتار موتورسیکلت‌سواران با دقت بیشتری فراهم می‌شود. ترکیب داده‌های روانشناختی با مدل‌های شبیه‌سازی می‌تواند ابزاری مؤثر برای تحلیل و پیش‌بینی رفتار موتورسواران و طراحی سیاستگذاری‌های ایمنی شهری باشد.
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

Behavioral Analysis of Motorcyclists Using Simulation and the Development of Behavioral Models

نویسندگان English

Hamid Reza Behnood 1
Saadi Rasouli 2
1 Department of Civil-Transportation, Faculty of Engineering, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran
2 Department of Civil-Transportation, Faculty of Engineering, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran
چکیده English

The behavior of motorcyclists is one of the key determinants of traffic safety and the reduction of road accidents. Motorcycles are more at risk of accidents due to their specific characteristics, including the lack of adequate physical protection and the high mobility of drivers. A detailed analysis of the behavior of this group of road users, especially using well-known behavioral models such as the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and the Motorcycle Rider Behavior Questionnaire (MRBQ), can help predict risky behaviors and improve safety policies. In addition, the use of computer simulations in the analysis of motorcyclist behavior allows for the examination of their reactions in controlled and diverse environments, which may not be possible in the real world for reasons of cost and safety. The main objective of the study is to provide a comprehensive framework for analyzing motorcycle rider behavior based on the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and the Motorcycle Rider Behavior Questionnaire (MRBQ) and its application in traffic simulations. The research method is based on a literature review and selected studies are collected from reputable international databases. A review of previous studies shows that qualitative data from TPB and MRBQ can be converted into quantitative parameters using methods such as numerical scoring (Likert scale) and component weighting. When these parameters are integrated into traffic simulation models, it is possible to analyze different scenarios and predict the risk of motorcyclist behavior with higher accuracy.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Behavioral models
Motorcyclist behavior
Motorcycle rider behavior questionnaire (MRBQ)
Simulation
theory of planned behavior (TPB)
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دوره 3، شماره 2
تابستان 1405
صفحه 187-200

  • تاریخ دریافت 01 آذر 1404
  • تاریخ بازنگری 01 دی 1404
  • تاریخ پذیرش 01 اسفند 1404
  • تاریخ انتشار 11 خرداد 1405